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Sunday, October 5, 2008

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#408 Baltimore +1

3-Units (12:00 P.M. CST)

This is another one of those games that sharp money has effected in a huge way. Nearly 70% of the Public is on Tennessee in this game, but yet the Lines makers had to move line off of the 3. This is yet another clear indication that the sharp money is on Baltimore. Tennessee comes in with a solid 4-0 record, while Baltimore is 2-1 after falling apart in the 3rd quarter last week against the Steelers before finally giving way in a 23-20 overtime loss. Both of these teams are very good on the defensive side of the ball, and are at the tops in defensive numbers in both points and total yards allowed. Look for Baltimore to continue to try and run the ball and keep Flacco in 3rd and short situations. Flacco looked good on the road at Pittsburgh last week, getting his first touchdown pass of the season, and should settle in now. He was sacked 5 times last week and will face a fierce pass rush from Tennessee. The Ravens defense sacked Big Ben 3 times last week and should be able to put pressure on Titan quarterback Kerry Collins. The Ravens are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 home games, while the underdog has cashed in 13 of the last 16 times these two teams have faced each other. I like our chances with the home team underdog with a very strong defense.

Take the Baltimore Ravens +1 for 3-Units.

Thanks and Good Luck

Slade

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